BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Fitchburg St
Class: 3 Class Rank: 227 Conference: Massachusetts State Collegiate Athletic Conference Record: (2-6) Overall: (2-8) Overall Strength = 39.16
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/01/2018 Home L 52.23 14 51 3 23 ( 7- 3) Cortland St 9.78 * -46.78
2 09/08/2018 Home L 9.14 13 34 3 235 ( 2- 8) Castleton -33.31 12.31
3 09/15/2018 Home L * 30.23 16 22 3 228 ( 2- 8) Worcester St -12.23 6.23
4 09/21/2018 Away L * 38.01 15 42 3 152 ( 8- 3) Bridgewater St MA -4.44 -22.56
5 09/29/2018 Home W * 61.55 36 20 3 205 ( 2- 8) Mass Maritime 19.10 -3.10
6 10/06/2018 Away L * 59.05 7 26 3 91 ( 8- 3) Framingham St 16.59 * -35.59
7 10/12/2018 Home L * 40.41 27 41 3 178 ( 5- 5) Westfield St -2.04 -11.96
8 10/27/2018 Home L * 37.61 12 33 3 162 ( 8- 2) Western Conn St -4.84 -16.16
9 11/03/2018 Away L * 36.66 0 28 3 155 ( 6- 4) Plymouth St -5.80 -22.20
10 11/10/2018 Away W * 59.63 32 29 3 186 ( 5- 5) UMass-Dartmouth 17.18 -14.18
Averages 42.45 17.2 32.6
Best game: 61.55 = 16 point win over Mass Maritime
Worst game: 9.14 = 21 point loss to Castleton
Team stdev: 16.23